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The probability of the Fed lowering interest rates by 50 basis points in September on Polymarket has risen to 8%.
On August 14, the probability of the Fed lowering interest rates by 50 basis points in September on Polymarket rose to 8%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut dropped to 79%, and the probability of no rate cut was 12%. According to data from CME's "FedWatch", the probability of a 50 basis point cut in September is 4.2%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 95.8%.