market data走势:

The daily chart for Bitcoin is currently showing a rebound. The MACD is supported near the zero axis and is correcting. The main chart is currently facing resistance at the 115,700 level above. If it breaks through and does not adjust above, and does not break the short-term trading line, then the MACD smoothing will generally trend upward, making it easy to reach the previous high. As long as the daily chart does not break this recent low of the pullback, the weekly chart should not have major issues. However, if it breaks the weekly chart and cannot recover, then the weekly indicators will be impacted. Therefore, this week's trend is still very important, so keep a close watch.
Let's take a look at Ethereum. From the structure breakout at 3700 that I previously mentioned, it has moved down along the discussed level of 3500 to the three positions at 3300. In fact, this drop wasn't deep, and it completed quickly in just a few days. Before the decline, we also mentioned that Ethereum's trend structure is safer than Bitcoin's. Therefore, whether it’s a sharp drop or a gradual decline, both present opportunities. This viewpoint is indisputable. The difference now is that after the drop, it has formed a V-shaped structure coming back up. For now, let’s not discuss whether it’s a rebound or a reversal; just the V-shaped structure alone is enough to illustrate its strength. The daily chart has also shown a bullish engulfing pattern after the drop, and currently, the MACD on the daily chart indicates a rebound. For it to stabilize, it either needs to oscillate and smooth out before forming a golden cross, or it can continue with consecutive bullish candles to extend and create a golden cross. These are the two methods that can rectify the current situation. However, we need to assess which scenario has a higher probability. If it really is strong enough to continue rising with consecutive bullish candles, what would the daily chart look like then? Currently, if consecutive bullish candles pull the MACD back to a golden cross, the daily level would enter a state of top divergence. The top divergence structure would need to be extended to mitigate its risks. Hence, we can conclude that this probability is very low, though not impossible; it can indeed strengthen. But in our actual operations, how do we act now? Firstly, the current support for Ethereum is near the short-term positions of 3656 and 3620. The most crucial position is around 3500. If this level breaks, then the previous lows will basically be unsustainable. Therefore, we can buy based on these positions, and if it breaks down, we’ll exit. This is especially important for those with heavy positions; for those with light positions, it doesn't matter too much. It's essential to manage your positions well.