2025 Crypto Market Outlook: Finding Opportunities Amid Uncertainty

As late June approaches, the situation in the 2025 crypto market has gradually become clear. This year's market trading logic mainly revolves around two main lines:

The first main line focuses on the controversy over the interest rate cut policy among the U.S. elite. Although many macro analysts are reluctant to interpret this controversy from a political perspective, it actually reflects the political game between the two parties in the U.S. Currently, the Federal Reserve seems to dominate the financial markets, while the other side attempts to exert influence through various means. This confrontational game may continue until the end of the Federal Reserve Chairman's term in May 2026 and before the U.S. midterm elections, bringing sustained uncertainty to the markets.

The second main line is the integration of cryptocurrency with the traditional financial system, as well as its role in reshaping the dollar financial system. Whether it's planning to increase Bitcoin strategic reserves, promoting significant growth in stablecoin scales, or clarifying the regulatory bodies for the crypto market, it all indicates that the U.S. government is incorporating cryptocurrency as an important component of the 21st-century dollar financial system.

The year 2025 will undoubtedly be a year full of uncertainty. For retail investors, making a profit in such a complex market environment will face unprecedented challenges. However, this does not mean we should choose to lie flat. On the contrary, seeking certainty amidst uncertainty is the wise course of action.

Looking ahead to 2026, there are two certainty layout opportunities worth paying attention to:

1. The U.S. debt resolution plan involves stablecoins, payment fintech, and real-world assets.

2. The establishment of a regulatory framework for the crypto market, as well as the development of decentralized exchanges for perpetual contracts and consumer chains.

Overall, our main task in 2025 is to maintain participation while preparing for opportunities in 2026. In this challenging market environment, it is crucial to stay vigilant and flexible.