June 23, 2025 18:53 Position

BTC Contract 15-Minute Market Trend Analysis Report

#### According to the market data provided by CoinAnk
- Current price: 101419.60 USDT
- 24h Change: -0.975%
- Main Support Level: 100808.30 USDT (S2)
- Main resistance level: 101882.70 USDT (R2)
- Current trend: consolidating with a bearish bias

#### Detailed Explanation:
1. **Technical Indicators Overview**:
- **Moving Average System**: The current price is between MA5 (101328.63) and MA10 (101476.63). MA5 has crossed below MA10, forming a short-term bearish arrangement, but MA120 (101063.45) still provides long-term support, indicating a bearish trend with fluctuations.
- **MACD**: DIF (8.79) is far below DEA (115.50), with a histogram of -106.71, indicating strong bearish momentum, but be wary of a rebound after being oversold.
- **BOLL**: The price is closely touching the lower band (101178.94), with a %B value of 0.01%, indicating an oversold condition. However, the middle band (101661.51) and the lower band are widening, suggesting that the downside potential may be limited.
- **RSI**: RSI6 (24.02) has entered the oversold zone, RSI12 (38.30) and RSI14 (41.51) are neutral and slightly weak, indicating a short-term demand for a rebound.
- **KDJ**: The K value (9.07) and D value (16.26) are both below 20, while the J value is 0, indicating extreme oversold conditions, which may be corrected in the short term.

2. **Funding Rate**: 0.00304100% (neutral), not reaching extreme long or short values, market sentiment shows no obvious bias.

3. **Volume Change**:
- Recently, during the decline, the trading volume increased (for example, at the 24h lowest price of 98115.40, the trading volume was 17636.24), indicating a bearish dominance.
- Insufficient volume during the rebound (e.g., the current 15m period trading volume is only 15.402), lacking sustained buying pressure.

4. **Capital Flow Data**:
- The net outflow of contract funds in the last 24 hours is 1.886 billion USDT, with a slight inflow in the short term (5 minutes) but the overall trend is bearish.
- Spot funds show a net outflow, indicating a lack of market confidence.

#### Analysis Result
- **Direction**: Cautiously long (oversold rebound opportunity)
- **Timing of Entry**:
- Aggressive: Current price 101419.60, take a small long position, stop loss 100808.30 (S2).
- Steady: Enter the market after waiting for the price to break through 101537.20 (R1) and confirm with a pullback.
- **Stop Loss Setting**: 3% (around 100808.30), if it drops below, then stop loss.
- **Target Price**:
- First target 101882.70 (R2, +0.46%),
- 2nd target 102074.41 (R3, +0.65%),
- If it breaks through R3, it can be held until 102500 (+1.07%).

**Note**: This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice!
(The current oversold rebound logic requires strict stop-loss; if the price continues to stay below MA5, then abandon the long strategy.)